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Guesswork

Dear Mr. Perez, the CIA does not engage in "guesswork." To say on national news (CNN 12/12/2016, 12:02PM Pacific, COX channel 1031) that the CIA used "guesswork" to conclude that "Russians" were engaged in cyber-espionage to influence our electoral process is insulting to an army of people who have dedicated their lives protecting your right to say that they are engaged in "guesswork."

This national concern with the FBI and CIA and their "counter" analysis of the cyber activity around the DNC/RNC "hacking," is a clear show of how the American public has lost trust in its intelligence community. I wonder when the mistrust of these organizations started. Could it be the way in which Hollywood has depicted them? I can't remember the last movie I saw where FBI cyber operations was portrayed in a positive manner.

The FBI investigates crime. For crime to happen there has to be a victim. You could argue "liberty" and "freedom" being the victims in the DNC hack. Yet, that's not what FBI is investigating. It appears they are approaching this from a "Clinton Campaign" as the victim of a retaliation attack. [1][3][5]

On the CIA side, investigations are centered around influence and misrepresentation. For them to conclude anything there has to be a case of broken trust and influence. That is why they appear to be focused on the "Trump Campaign" as a victim. [2][5]

In both analysis, though, the same intelligence is at work. The same analysis has happened. An unauthorized entity, with high likelihood of connection to Russian interests, has engaged in felony cyberterrorism against a private political entity with national level influence. While a private entity hack, it is still a great concern and should be dignified with a similar level of outrage by our governing representatives.[7]

Yet, I can't be me without the conspiracy theory, right? So there is a conspiracy angle to this, and that's the IC is the source of the DNC/RNC hack, and the RNC hack was likely just a me-too. [4] You told me "your government is not trying to deceive you," and I believe you. Yet, the greatest tool of deception is plain sight.

As for those electorates who think they are entitled to see classified intelligence reports? I have to wonder about their motivations. Maybe they are trying to smoke out CI's? You need to trust the IC when it tells you it has conclusive evidence. Intelligence reports are hundreds of pages of back story and interrogations. You don't have the IQ to ingest that data and make use of it in a productive manner.

[1] http://www.redstate.com/absentee/2016/12/12/trump-cia-fbi-russia-dnc-rnc/
[2] https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/obama-orders-review-of-russian-hacking-during-presidential-campaign/2016/12/09/31d6b300-be2a-11e6-94ac-3d324840106c_story.html
[3] http://www.politico.com/story/2016/07/clinton-putin-226153
[4] http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-10-22/nsa-whistleblower-us-intelligence-worker-likely-behind-dnc-leaks-not-russia
[5] https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/russian-propaganda-effort-helped-spread-fake-news-during-election-experts-say/2016/11/24/793903b6-8a40-4ca9-b712-716af66098fe_story.html
[6] http://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/2016/10/24/russian-hacking-dnc-podesta-clinton-passwords-column/92647858/
[7] http://chicagoist.com/2016/12/12/joe_walsh_donald_trump_third_grader.php

Merry Christmas you guys. Maybe we'll see each other at Islands again.

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