Skip to main content

A Valuation of Earth, Inc.

Stock speculation is a big business. Trillions of dollars are exchanged on a daily basis in the stock market. If you're savvy, you can make some serious cash buying and selling stock, either short or long. What is stock? Well, it's ownership in a company. If you own 1 share of stock in a company that has 100 shares, then you own 1% of that company. That's easy to understand, right? 

Real estate is really the same idea, except that your company is The Planet Earth. So, how much stock is available in Earth, Inc? Let's start with a unit of stock that would represent a detached home on the planet. For this, let's say is a quarter of an acre. 

There are 148,939,100 square kilometers of surface land on Earth [1]. Now we need to find out how many acres are on the Earth so that we can determine the number of shares in the company. 

1 acre = 4046.85 sq meters [2] 
1 sq-km = 1,000,000 sq meters 
1 acre = 0.00404685 sq km 

For simplicity, let's create 1 share of surface as 0.25 acres. That gives us: 0.25 acre = 0.0010117125 sq km Using this value along with the 149M sq km of surface area on Earth gives us about 147,214,846,115 shares. 

This number is about 472 times the number of outstanding common shares available in google on 6/20/2007, just for perspective. 

In the USA, there is 3,537,441 sq miles of land [3]. This comes out to be about 9,161,972 sq km [2]. Using our handy formula, the number of shares in the USA is 9,055,904,904, or about 6% of the Earth, Inc. float. 

The average home price in the USA is 185,200 US [4], using numbers from 2004. One house, remember, is one share of Earth, Inc. What we need, though, is a world-wide average home price to make this analysis more balanced. Let's take a look at some numbers: 

USA: 185,200 [4] 
New Zealand: 350,000 (265,979 US) [5,10] 
South Africa: 911,800 (127,515 US) [6,10] 
UK: 210,000 (417,900 US) [7,10] 
Australia: 391,000 (330,125 US) [8,10] 
Ireland: 310,632 (416,395 US) [9,10] 
Mexico: 86,143 US [11] 

The average of these 7 countries is $261,322 US. This puts a value of about 38,470,541,108,540,937, or about 38,471 trillion US dollars. 

Now when the Vogans come to blow up the Earth, we can ask for remuneration in the order of 39,000 trillion US dollars, or something of similar value. Maybe a signed picture of William Shatner and Patrick Stewart together? 

A better valuation of Earth, Inc., would be a weighted determination of mean stock price using the average home price per region, rather than per country. For instance, the average home price in California is 450,550 [12]. The land area in California is 155,959 sq miles [13], or 403,933 sq km [2]. This is about 399,257,506 Earth, Inc., shares, or 0.27% of Earth, Inc. 

That means 0.27% of the stock price should be calculated using the $450,550 median home price. More countries should be used in this analysis. I could only find average home sale prices for a few countries. I am sure home sales in Croatia, Uganda, and Uzbekistan are significantly less than the average California home price. 

Popular posts from this blog

The Spinning Brain

Intuition is a phenomenon of the biological brain that doesn't have any physical explanation. Many people experience intuition with varying degrees of success. There are a variety of theories regarding intuition [1] and some people regard intuition with much caution [2] . Yet, I am happily in the camp that has learned to respect my intuition as it has proven time and time again to be correct. Recently, though, I'd been thinking about intuition and soothsaying . There are many cases of people who claim to see the future, whatever that might be. Maybe there is something to be said about this mystical phenomenon. Maybe there is a real physical process at work that we just haven't thought of yet. To this end, I am proposing a theory about human intuition. This theory, though requires some background in quantum mechanics . Specifically, quantum entanglement . I'm not the only person who has theorized about quantum entanglement and its role in biological congnition and th...

Stock Option Debt Income

The 2024 Presidential election has brought out a topic of interest that seems to have been perverted. There is this "Taxing Unrealized Capital Gains" [1] movement that is being falsely attributed to Vice President Harris. Clearly, this is a change in the revenue code that was designed by someone in office long before VP Harris was in office. My money is on Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders. What is this change in the revenue code though? For that you have to understand what Silicon Valley zillionaires are doing with their stock options. Many of these people in this special economic area have huge discounts on stock prices for companies that are not public yet, or are public and can not be sold [2]. To be fair to these holders of equity, banks allow them to finance debt using leverage against those options. If you hold an option that is worth $5M then a bank might lend you a share of that value, thus realizing a debt against the option [3]. This is a fair debt instrument and...

Number of Primes

Anderson's Theorem (a) The number of primes in [1,n] is no more than 2+floor(n/2). The probability of n being prime when n is not prime is 1/2 - see Dasgupta,Papadimitriou,Vazirani "Algorithms" page 26. Therefore, the E(pi(n)) is n/2. (b) There does not exist another set of adjacent primes other than {1,2,3} 5: 2 + floor(5/2) = 2 + 2 = 4:=> {1,2,3,5} : 4 <= 4 7: 2 + floor(7/2) = 2 + 3 = 5 => {1,2,3,5,7} : 5 <= 5 11: 2 + floor(11/2) = 2 + 5 = 7 => {1,2,3,5,7,11} 6 <= 7 26: 2 + floor(26/2) = 15 => {1,2,3,5,7,11,13,17,19,23} : 10 <= 15 Lagrange's Theorem is Inaccurate Lagrange's theorem about primes states that pi(x) is the number of primes <= x. The pi(x) is approximately x/ln(x). He postulated that the lim of pi(x)/(x/lnx) as x-> infinity was 1. This is incorrect. if the number of primes is bounded by n/2 then refactoring and reducing Lagrange's Theorem results in the lim of ln(x) as x approaches infinity. This is alwa...